Demand theories of the fertility transition: An iconoclastic view

Population Studies

Volumn 41, Issue 1, 1987, Pages 5-30

  Cleland, John ^a   Wilson, Christopher ^b  

^a International Statistical Institute   (Netherlands)

^b LONDON SCHOOL OF ECONOMICS   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 0023511948     PISSN: 00324728     EISSN: 14774747     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/0032472031000142516     Document Type: Article

References (84)

1. Paul Demeny, ‘Early fertility decline in Austria-Hungary: a lesson in demographic transition’, in Population and Social Change, eds. David V. Glass and Roger Revelle (London: Edward Arnold; 1972).
2. Carmen A. Mire and Joseph E. Potter, Population Policy (London: Frances Pinter, 1980), p. 96.
3. E. A. Wrigley and Roger Schofleld, The Population History of England 1541-1871: A Reconstruction (London: Edward Arnold, 1981).
4. John Cleland, ‘Marital fertility decline in developing countries: theories and the evidence’, in Reproductive Change in Developing Countries, eds. John CMand and John Hobcraft (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1985).
5. Ansley J. Coale, ‘The demographic transition’, in International Population Conference 1973 (Liege, International Union for the Scientific Study of Population, 1973).
6. W. Thompson, ‘Population’, American Journal of Sociology, 34 (1929), pp. 959-975.
7. K. Davis, ‘The world demographic transition ', Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 273 (1945), pp. 1-11.
8. F. W. Notestein, ‘Population: the long view’, in Food for the World, ed. T. W. Schultz (Chicago: Chicago University Press, 1945).
9. G. S. Becker, ‘An economic analysis of fertility’, in Demographic and Economic Change in Developed Countries, National Bureau of Economic Research (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1960).
10. G. S. Becker, ‘A theory of the allocation of time’, Economic Journal, 75 (1965), pp. 493-517.
11. T. P. Schultz, ‘An economic model of family planning and fertility’, Journal of Political Economy, 77 (1969), pp. 153-180.
12. T. P. Schultz, ‘Determinants of fertility: a micro-economic model of choice’, in Economic Factors in Population Growth, ed. A. J. Coale, pp. 89-124 (New York: Wiley, 1976).
13. T. W. Schultz, ed., Economics of the Family: Marriage, Children, andHuman Capital (Chicago: Chicago University Press, 1974).
14. G. S. Becker, A Treatise on the Family (Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press, 1981).
15. T. P. Schultz, Economics of Population, ch. 4, especially table 4.1 p. 99.
16. H. Leibenstein, ‘An interpretation of the economic theory of fertility: promising path or blind alley’Journal of Economic Literature, 12 (1974), pp. 457-479.
17. H. Leibenstein, ‘The economic theory of fertility decline’, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 89 (1975), pp. 1-31.
18. R. A. Easterlin, ‘An economic framework for fertility analysis’, Studies in Family Planning, 6 (1975), pp. 54-63.
19. R. A. Easterlin, R. A. Pollack and M. L. Wachter, ‘Towards a more general economic model of fertility determination: endogenous preferences and natural fertility’, in Population and Economic Change in Developing Countries, ed. R. A. Easterlin, pp. 81-149 (Chicago: Chicago University Press, 1980).
20. R. A. Bulatao and R. D. Lee (eds.), Determinants of Fertility in Developing Countries (New York: Academic Press, 1984).
21. Norman B. Ryder, ‘Fertility and family structure’, Population Bulletin of the United Nations, 15 (1983), pp. 15-33.
22. John C. Caldwell, Theory of Fertility Decline, ch. 11 (London: Academic Press, 1982).
23. A. Inkeles and D. H. Smith, Becoming Modern: Individual Change in Six Developing Countries (London: Heinemann, 1974).
24. A. Inkeles, Exploring Individual Modernity (New York: Columbia University Press, 1983).
25. Everett M. Rogers and F. Floyd Shoemaker, Communication of Innovations: a Cross-Cultural Approach (New York: Free Press, 1971).
26. Everett M. Rogers, Communication Strategies for Family Planning (New York: Free Press, 1973).
27. R. D. Retherford, ‘A theory of marital fertility transition’, Population Studies, 39 (1985), pp. 249-268.
28. J. B. Casterline and R. B. Clark, ‘Diffusion perspectives on fertility transition: a critical assessment’. Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, San Francisco, 1986.
29. Louis Henry, Anciennesfamilles Genvoises (Paris: INED, 1956).
30. E. A. Wrigley, ‘Family limitation in pre-industrial England’, Economic History Review (2nd series), 19 (1966), pp. 82-109.
31. John Knodel, ‘Natural fertility in pre-industrial Germany’, Population Studies, 32 (1978), pp. 481-510
32. Christopher Wilson, ‘Natural fertility in pre-industrial England, 1600-1799', Population Studies, 38 (1984), pp. 225-240.
33. Angus Maclaren, Reproductive Rituals (London: Methuen, 1985).
34. E. A. Wrigley, ‘The fall of marital fertility of nineteenth-century France: exemplar or exception’, European Journal of Population, 1 (1985), pp. 31-60.
35. R. Andorka, ‘Un example de faible frcondité légitime dans une rrgion de la Hongrie’, Annales de Démographie Historique (1972), pp. 25-53.
36. Ansley J. Coale and T. James Trussell, ‘Model fertility schedules: variations in the age pattern of childbearing in human populations’, Population Index, 40 (1974), pp. 185-218.
37. Halvor Gille and R. H. Pardoko, ‘Family life study in East Java’, Family Planning and Population Programs, ed. Bernard Berelson (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1966).
38. W. Parker Mauldin, ‘Fertility studies: knowledge, attitude and practice’, Studies in Family Planning, 7 (1965), pp. 1-10.
39. Division of Statistics, Secretariat for Planning, Government of Morocco, ‘Morocco: family planning knowledge: attitudes and practice in rural areas’, Studies in Family Planning, 58 (1970), pp. 1-22.
40. John Knodel, Napaporn Havanon and Anthony Pramualratana, ‘Fertility transition in Thailand: a qualitative analysis’, Population and Development Review, 10 (1984), pp. 297-328.
41. Mead Cain, ‘On the relationship between landholding and tertllity’, Population Studies, 39 (1985), pp. 5-15.
42. John Cleland, Jane Verrall and Martin Vaessen, ‘Preferences for the sex of children and their influence on reproductive behaviour’, WFS Comparative Studies, 27 (1983).
43. Jee-Peng Tan, ‘Marital fertility at older ages in Nepal, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka’, Population Studies, 37, 3 (1983), pp. 433-445.
44. Anrudh K. Jain and John Bongaarts, ‘Socio-biological factors in exposure to childbearing: breastfeeding and its fertility effect’, in Worm Fertility Conference 1980: Record of Proceedings, vol. 2 (Voorburg, Netherlands, International Statistical Institute, 1981).
45. R. J. Lesthaeghe and I. H. Shah, ‘Illustrative analysis: breastfeeding in Pakistan’, WFS Scientific Reports. 37 (1982).
46. Richard M. Smith, ‘Fertility, economy and household formation in England over three centuries’, Population and Development Review, 7 (1981), pp. 595-622.
47. Nancy Birdsall, ‘Fertility and economic change in eighteenth and nineteenth century Europe: a comment’, Population and Development Review, 9 (1983), pp. 111-123.
48. Smith’s rejoinder, ‘On putting the child before the marriage: reply to Birdsall’, is in the same issue, pp. 124-135.
49. R. M. Smith, ‘Transfer incomes, risk and security: the roles of the family and the collectivity in recent theories of fertility change’, in The State of Population Theory: Forward from Malthus, eds. D. Coleman and R. Schofield, pp. 188-211 (Oxford and New York: Blackwell, 1986).
50. Eva Mueller and Kathleen Short, ‘Effects of income and wealth on the demand for children’, in Determinants of Fertility in Developing Countries, eds. Rodolfo Bulatao and Ronald D. Lee, vol. 1, pp. 590-642 (New York: Academic Press, 1983).
51. Rodolfo A. Bulatao, ‘On the nature of the transition in the value of children’, Papers of the East-West Population Institute, no. 60-A, (Hawaii, East-West Center, 1979).
52. Christopher Wilson, ‘The proximate determinants of marital fertility in England, 1600-1799', in The World We Have Gained, eds. Lloyd Bonfield, Richard Smith and Keith Wrightson (Oxford and New York: Basil Blackwell, 1986).
53. John Knodel and Etienne van de Walle, ‘Lessons from the past: policy implications of historical fertility studies’, Population and Development Review, 5 (1979), pp. 217-245.
54. Phillips Cutright, ‘The ingredients of recent fertility decline in developing countries’, International Family Planning Perspectives, 9 (1983), pp. 101-109.
55. William Brass and Mohammed Kabir, ‘Regional variations in fertility and child mortality during the demographic transition in England and Wales’, in Regional Demographic Analysis, eds. John Hobcraft and Philip Rees (London: Croom Helm, 1980).
56. Ansley J. Conic, Barbara Anderson and Erna Hiirm, Human Fertility in Russia since the Nineteenth Century (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1979).
57. A. Romaniuk, ‘Increase in natural fertility during the early stages of modernization: Canadian Indians ease study’, Demography, 18, (1981), pp. 157-172.
58. T. Dyson and M. Murphy, ‘The onset of fertility transition’, Population and Development Review, 11 (1985), pp. 399-440.
59. M. Murphy and T. Dyson, ‘Marriage trends and the fertility transition in developing countries’in Dynamics of Population and Family Welfare, eds. K. Srinivasan and S. Mukerji (Bombay: International Institute for Population Studies, forthcoming).
60. John Knodel and Christopher Wilson, ‘The secular increase in fecundity in German village populations’, Population Studies, 35 (1980, pp. 53-84.
61. Childspacing in Tropical Africa: Traditions and Change, eds. Hilary J. Page and Ron Lesthaeghe (London and New York: Academic Press, 1981).
62. Susheela Singh, John B. Casterline and John G. Cleland, ‘The proximate determinants of fertility: sub-national variations’, Population Studies, 39 (1985), pp. 113-135.
63. Geman Rodriguez and John Cleland, ‘Socio-economic determinants of marital fertility in twenty countries: a multivariate analysis’, in World Fertility Survey Conference 1980: Record of Proceedings, vol. 2 (Voorburg, Netherlands, International Statistical Institute, 1981).
64. J. B. Casterline, ‘Community effects on fertility’, in The Collection and Analysis of Community Data, ed. John B. Casterlin¢ (Voorburg, Netherlands, International Statistical Institute, 1985).
65. Mead Cain, ‘On the relationship between landholding and fertility’. Population Studies, 39 (1985), pp. 5-15.
66. Robert H. Weller, ‘The gainful employment of females and fertility: with specific reference to rural areas of developing countries’, in Rural Development and Human Fertility, eds. Wayne A. Schutjer and C. Shannon Stokes (London and New York: Macmillan, 1984).
67. United Nations, Women’s Employment and Fertility, Population Studies 16 (New York: Department of International Economic and Social Affairs, 1985).
68. Mead Cain, ‘Risk and insurance: perspectives on fertility and agrarian change’, Population and Development Review, 7 (1981), pp. 435-474.
69. Jeffrey B. Nugent, ‘The old-age security motive for fertility’, Population and Development Review, 11 (1985), pp. 75-97.
70. J. C. Caldwell, ‘Mass education as a determinant of the timing of fertility decline’, for convincing evidence of the importance of education in imparting new ideas and attitudes. Population and Development Review, 6 (1980), pp. 225-255.
71. Jee Peng Tan and Michael R. Haines, Schooling and Demand for Children: Historical Perspectives (Washington, D.C., World Bank, 1984).
72. John Casterline, ‘Schooling and fertility’, International Union for the Scientific Study of Population, International Population Conference, vol. 2, pp. 7-20. (Florence, 1985).
73. John Knodel, Apichat Chamratrithrong, Napaporn Chayovan and Nibhon Debavalya, Fertility in Thailand: Trends, Differentials and Proximate Determinants, Committee on Population and Demography Report № 13 (Washington D.C., National Academy Press, 1982).
74. Iqbal Alum and John Cleland, ‘Illustrative analysis: recent fertility trends in Sri Lanka’, WFS Scientific Reports 25 (1981).
75. Budi Soeradji and Sri Harijati Hatmadji, ‘Contraceptive use in Java-Bali: a multivariate analysis of the determinants of contraceptive use’, WFS Scientific Reports, 24 (1982).
76. Ron Lesthaeghe, The Decline of Belgian Fertility, 1800-1960 (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1978).
77. Ron Lesthaeghe, ‘A century of demographic and cultural change in Western Europe: an exploration of underlying dimensions’, Population and Development Review, 9 (1983), pp. 411-435.
78. John C. Caldwell and Lado T. Ruzicka, ‘The Australian fertility transition: an analysis’, Population and Development Review, 4 (1978), pp. 81-103.
79. Dennis H. Wrong, Class Fertility Trends in Western Nations (New York: Arno Press, 1980).
80. J. Mayone Stycos, ‘Putting back the K and A in KAP; a study of the implications of knowledge and attitudes for fertility in Costa Rica’, WFS Scientific Reports, 48 (1983).
81. Lee-Jay Cho, Fred Arnold and Tai Hwan Kwon, The Determinants of Fertility in the Republic of Korea, Committee on Population and Demography Report № 14 (Washington, D.C., National Academy Press, 1982).
82. Te-Hsiung Sun, Hui-Sheng Lin and Ronald Freedman, ‘Trends in fertility, family size preferences and family planning practice: Taiwan 1961-76', Studies in Family Planning, 9 (1978), pp. 54-70.
83. Robert E. Lightbourne and Alphonse L. MacDonald, ‘Family size preferences’, WFS Comparative Studies, 14 (1982).
84. W. F. Pratt, W. D. Mosher, C. A. Bachrach and M. C. Horn,‘Understanding U.S. fertility: findings from the National Survey of Family Growth, Cycle III’, Population Bulletin, 39, 5 (1984).