On a “two-stage” bayesian procedure for determining failure rates from experiential data

IEEE Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems

Volumn PAS-102, Issue 1, 1983, Pages 195-202

  Kaplan, Stan ^a  

^a PLG   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

RELIABILITY THEORY; STATISTICAL METHODS - APPLICATIONS;

BAYES THEOREM;

FAILURE ANALYSIS;

EID: 0020496785     PISSN: 00189510     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1109/TPAS.1983.318016     Document Type: Article

References (9)

1. Kaplan, S., B. J. Garrick, and P. P. Bieniarz, “On the Use of Bayes' Theorem in Assessing the Frequency of Anticipated Transients,” Nuclear Engineering and Design, 65 (1981), 23–31.
2. Apostolakis, G., S. Kaplan, B. J. Garrick, and R. J. Duphily, “Data Specialization for Plant-Specific Risk Studies,” Nuclear Engineering and Design, Vol. 56, 321–329, 1980.
3. Apostolakis, G., S. Kaplan, B. J. Garrick, and W. Dickter, “An Assessment of the Frequency of Failure to Scram,” Vol. 20, No. 6, Nuclear Safety, November–December 1979.
4. Kaplan, S., and B. J. Garrick, “On the Use of Bayesian Reasoning in Safety and Reliability Decisions — Three Examples,” Nuclear Technology, Vol. 44, July 1979.
5. Lindley, D. V., Introduction to Probability and Statistics from a Bayesian Viewpoint, Cambridge University Press, 1970.
6. Hirschleifer, J., “The Bayesian Approach to Statistical Decision: An Exposition,” J. Bus., 34: 471–489, October 1961.
7. Bayes, T., “An Essay Towards Solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances,” Philos. Trans. R. Soc. London, 53: 370–418, 1763; reprinted in Biometrika, 45(3–4): 293–315, December 1958.
8. Kaplan, S., “On the Method of Discrete Probability Distributions in Risk and Reliability Calculations — Application to Seismic Risk Assessment,” to be published in Risk Analysis, Vol. 1, No. 3, 1981. (See also Lawrence Livermore Laboratory Document UCRL15005.)
9. “ATWS: A Reappraisal, Part III, Frequency of Anticipated Transients,” EPRI NP-801, Interim Report, July 1978.