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Volumn 67, Issue 4, 1998, Pages 477-512

The shock of the atomic bomb and Japan's decision to surrender - A reconsideration

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EID: 0012994335     PISSN: 00308684     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.2307/3641184     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (38)

References (231)
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    • Edward J. Drea, "Previews of Hell: The End of the War with Japan," Military History Quarterly, 7 (1995), 79.
    • (1995) Military History Quarterly , vol.7 , pp. 79
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  • 2
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    • Diary of Lieutenant General Miyazaki Shuichi, Aug. 6, 1945, Library, Military History Department, National Institute for Defense Studies, Defense Agency, Tokyo
    • Diary of Lieutenant General Miyazaki Shuichi, Aug. 6, 1945, Library, Military History Department, National Institute for Defense Studies, Defense Agency, Tokyo.
  • 4
    • 26044450200 scopus 로고
    • The gist of this paper was presented at the meeting of the Society for Historians of American Foreign Relations held in Annapolis, Md., in June 1995 and the meeting of the Japan Association of International Relations held in Hiroshima in October 1995. A summary was published in the liberal-progressive monthly journal Sekai, No. 616 (1995), 232-242.
    • (1995) Sekai , vol.616 , pp. 232-242
  • 5
    • 85034173962 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Tokyo
    • An early Japanese version was presented at the International Conference on the Close of the Pacific War, held in Ito, Japan, in August 1995 and was later published as Asada Sadao, "Gembaku toka no shogeki to kofuku no kettei" (The Shock of the Atomic Bomb and Japan's Decision to Surrender") in Hosoya Chihiro et al., eds., Taiheiyo senso no shuketsu [The close of the Pacific War] (Tokyo, 1997), 195-221.
    • (1997) Taiheiyo Senso No Shuketsu [The Close of the Pacific War] , pp. 195-221
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    • 85034194517 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • note
    • The cabinet system, as inaugurated in 1889, in practice required a unanimity of views among its members for any decision making. The army and navy ministers were privileged members and, by resigning and refusing to name their successors, they could overthrow the government.
  • 7
    • 0042337917 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Decision to Use the Bomb: A Historiographical Update
    • Michael J. Hogan, ed., New York
    • A recent historiographical essay is J. Samuel Walker, "The Decision to Use the Bomb: A Historiographical Update," in Michael J. Hogan, ed., Hiroshima in History and Memory (New York, 1996), 11-37.
    • (1996) Hiroshima in History and Memory , pp. 11-37
    • Samuel Walker, J.1
  • 10
    • 84959808579 scopus 로고
    • Japan's Delayed Surrender: A Reinterpretation
    • Herbert P. Bix, "Japan's Delayed Surrender: A Reinterpretation," Diplomatic History, 19 (1995), 197-225.
    • (1995) Diplomatic History , vol.19 , pp. 197-225
    • Bix, H.P.1
  • 12
    • 84937290304 scopus 로고
    • The Atomic Bombings Reconsidered
    • Barton J. Bernstein, "The Atomic Bombings Reconsidered," Foreign Affairs, 74 (1995), 135-152;
    • (1995) Foreign Affairs , vol.74 , pp. 135-152
    • Bernstein, B.J.1
  • 13
    • 26044457571 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Understanding the Atomic Bomb and the Japanese Surrender: Missed Opportunities, Little Known Near Disasters, and Modern Memory
    • Hogan, ed.
    • Bernstein, "Understanding the Atomic Bomb and the Japanese Surrender: Missed Opportunities, Little Known Near Disasters, and Modern Memory," in Hogan, ed., Hiroshima in History and Memory, 38-79;
    • Hiroshima in History and Memory , pp. 38-79
    • Bernstein1
  • 14
    • 0039347641 scopus 로고
    • The Struggle over History: Defining the Hiroshima Narrative
    • Philip Nobile, ed., NewYork
    • and Bernstein, "The Struggle Over History: Defining the Hiroshima Narrative," in Philip Nobile, ed., Judgment at the Smithsonian (NewYork, 1995), 127-256.
    • (1995) Judgment at the Smithsonian , pp. 127-256
    • Bernstein1
  • 15
    • 84968148976 scopus 로고
    • The Perils and Politics of Surrender: Ending the War with Japan and Avoiding the Third Atomic Bomb
    • See also Bernstein, "The Perils and Politics of Surrender: Ending the War with Japan and Avoiding the Third Atomic Bomb," Pacific Historical Review, 46 (1977), 1-27.
    • (1977) Pacific Historical Review , vol.46 , pp. 1-27
    • Bernstein1
  • 19
    • 6944254572 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Princeton, N.J.
    • In his revised version, The Atomic Bomb and the End of World War II (Princeton, N.J., 1966), Feis tentatively incorporates some thoughts on anti-Soviet motives of the bombing.
    • (1966) The Atomic Bomb and the End of World War II
  • 21
    • 85034159123 scopus 로고
    • Hiroshima at Fifty: The Politics of History and Memory
    • [A Quarterly Publication of the International House of Japan]
    • Martin Sherwin's most recent position is stated in "Hiroshima at Fifty: The Politics of History and Memory," IHJ Bulletin [A Quarterly Publication of the International House of Japan], 15 (1995), 1-10.
    • (1995) IHJ Bulletin , vol.15 , pp. 1-10
  • 22
    • 26044449533 scopus 로고
    • The Mushroom Cloud and National Psyches: Japanese and American Perceptions of the A-Bomb Decision, 1945-1995
    • For a detailed discussion, see Sadao Asada, "The Mushroom Cloud and National Psyches: Japanese and American Perceptions of the A-Bomb Decision, 1945-1995," Journal of American-East Asian Relations, 4 (1995), 95-116.
    • (1995) Journal of American-East Asian Relations , vol.4 , pp. 95-116
    • Asada, S.1
  • 35
    • 85034184326 scopus 로고
    • 6 vols., Tokyo, originally 1952; annotated and expanded version
    • For further discussion on the subject, see Hatano Sumio's thoughtful historiographical essay and his exhaustive bibliography, both contained in volume 6 of Gaimusho [Foreign Ministry], ed., Shusen shiroku [Historical record relating to the termination of the war] (6 vols., Tokyo, originally 1952; annotated and expanded version, 1977-1978), 6: 230-253, 259-293.
    • (1977) Shusen Shiroku [Historical Record Relating to the Termination of the War] , vol.6 , pp. 230-253
    • Sumio, H.1
  • 36
    • 26044437837 scopus 로고
    • The Bomb: An Act That Haunts Japan and America
    • Aug. 6
    • Nicholas D. Kristof, "The Bomb: An Act That Haunts Japan and America," New York Times, Aug. 6, 1995.
    • (1995) New York Times
    • Kristof, N.D.1
  • 38
    • 85034198488 scopus 로고
    • 2 vols., Washington, D.C.
    • "Interrogations of Japanese Officials on World War II" (2 vols.; hereafter cited as "Interrogations") and "Statements of Japanese Officials on World War II" (4 vols.; hereafter cited as "Statements"). These interviews were conducted in preparation for General Douglas MacArthur's official war history, Reports of General MacArthur: Japanese Operations in the Southwest Pacific Area (2 vols., Washington, D.C., 1966).
    • (1966) Reports of General MacArthur: Japanese Operations in the Southwest Pacific Area
  • 39
    • 84952390991 scopus 로고
    • Compelling Japan's Surrender Without the A-Bomb, Soviet Entry or Invasion: Reconsidering the US Bombing Survey's Early-Surrender Conclusions
    • Portions of the original Japanese versions are available at the Library, Military History Department, Institute of Defense Studies; a complete English translation is available at the U.S. Army Center of Military History, Washington, D.C. For the nature of the problems the historian faces, see Barton J. Bernstein, "Compelling Japan's Surrender Without the A-Bomb, Soviet Entry or Invasion: Reconsidering the US Bombing Survey's Early-Surrender Conclusions," Journal of Strategic Studies, 18 (1995), 109-137. Butow's Japan's Decision to Surrender is an example of what a critical use of these documents can yield. Whenever sources appear dubious and whenever it has been possible, I have attempted to check them with more reliable materials.
    • (1995) Journal of Strategic Studies , vol.18 , pp. 109-137
    • Bernstein, B.J.1
  • 43
    • 6944237844 scopus 로고
    • David Nelson Rowe New Haven, Conn.
    • Toshikazu Kase, Journey to the Missouri, ed. David Nelson Rowe (New Haven, Conn., 1950), 55.
    • (1950) Journey to the Missouri , pp. 55
    • Kase, T.1
  • 50
    • 6944240602 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • New York
    • translated as The Cause of Japan, trans. and ed. Togo Fumihiko and B. B. Blakeney (New York, 1956) (throughout this article I have relied on my own translation).
    • (1956) The Cause of Japan
    • Fumihiko, T.1    Blakeney, B.B.2
  • 64
    • 85034161524 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Kido nikki, 2: 1222;
    • Kido Nikki , vol.2 , pp. 1222
  • 85
    • 84952418123 scopus 로고
    • Dec. 23, emphasis mine
    • Ikeda Sumihisa, Dec. 23, 1949, "Statements" (emphasis mine).
    • (1949) Statements
    • Sumihisa, I.1
  • 89
    • 85034188338 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Kido nikki, 2: 1223;
    • Kido Nikki , vol.2 , pp. 1223
  • 96
    • 85034196840 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Surprisingly; Army Minister Anami seems to have given some credence to the make-believe account that the United States had a stockpile of one hundred atomic bombs and that Tokyo would be the target for the next atomic bombing. The source of this fabrication was a P-51 fighter pilot by the name of Marcus McDila who had been downed and captured on August 8. (The United States, of course, had completed only two bombs at that time.) Gaimusho, ed., Shusen shiroku, 4: 119-120;
    • Shusen Shiroku , vol.4 , pp. 119-120
    • Gaimusho1
  • 98
    • 85034183918 scopus 로고
    • [Diaries] Tokyo
    • Okura Kimmochi, president of the Technological Research Mobilization Office, also heard a similar rumor. Naisei Kenkyukai and Nihon Kindai Shiryo Kenkyukai, eds., Okura Kimmochi nikki [Diaries] (Tokyo, 1971), 4: 321.
    • (1971) Okura Kimmochi Nikki , vol.4 , pp. 321
    • Kenkyukai, N.1    Kindai, N.2    Kenkyukai, S.3
  • 99
    • 85034195563 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • note
    • There was no separate decision to use the second bomb; the local commander was ordered to use additional bombs as they became ready.
  • 102
    • 85034194710 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Shusen kosaku, Ibid., 2: 365;
    • Shusen Kosaku , vol.2 , pp. 365
  • 103
    • 85034173154 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Toyoda, Saiga, 207-209;
    • Saiga , pp. 207-209
    • Toyoda1
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    • Suzuki, ed., Jiden, 295-296.
    • Jiden , pp. 295-296
    • Suzuki1
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    • 85034162883 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Toyoda, Saigo, 207-209;
    • Saigo , pp. 207-209
    • Toyoda1
  • 118
    • 85034169085 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Shusen shiroku, Ibid., 139, 142;
    • Shusen Shiroku , vol.139 , pp. 142
  • 120
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    • 'Kokutai goji' to Potsudamu sengen
    • On the Japanese reaction, see Hatano Sumio, "'Kokutai goji' to Potsudamu sengen" [The 'national polity' and the Potsdam Declaration], Gaiko jiho, No. 1320 (1995), 28-35.
    • (1995) Gaiko Jiho , vol.1320 , pp. 28-35
    • Sumio, H.1
  • 125
    • 85034162883 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Toyoda, Saigo, 218-222;
    • Saigo , pp. 218-222
    • Toyoda1
  • 130
    • 0010066395 scopus 로고
    • New York
    • Henry L. Stimson and McGeorge Bundy, On Active Service in Peace and War (New York, 1948), 626. Stimson and his colleagues had been following the power struggle within the Japanese government through intercepted Japanese cable messages.
    • (1948) On Active Service in Peace and War , pp. 626
    • Stimson, H.L.1    Bundy, M.2
  • 132
    • 26044479575 scopus 로고
    • Diary of Henry L. Stimson (on microfilm; original in Yale University Library), entries of June 18 and July 2, 1945; Foreign Relations, 1945:
    • (1945) Foreign Relations , pp. 1945
    • Stimson, H.L.1
  • 140
    • 85034173489 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Kido nikki, 1: 28-29, 2: 1020;
    • Kido Nikki , vol.1 , pp. 28-29
  • 142
    • 85034185491 scopus 로고
    • [A documentary history of Showa Emperor, Vol. 5: Defeat] 7 vols., Tokyo
    • The position of Hirohito is critically treated in the following works: Tanaka Nobumasa, Dokyumento showa tenno, Vol. 5: Haisen 2 [A documentary history of Showa Emperor, Vol. 5: Defeat] (7 vols., Tokyo, 1988);
    • (1988) Dokyumento Showa Tenno, Vol. 5: Haisen 2 , vol.5
    • Nobumasa, T.1
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  • 152
    • 85034189379 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Kido nikki, 2: 1209-1210;
    • Kido Nikki , vol.2 , pp. 1209-1210
  • 155
    • 85034178129 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Kido nikki, 2: 1212-1213.
    • Kido Nikki , vol.2 , pp. 1212-1213
  • 162
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    • Marshall, Truman, and the Decision to Drop the Bomb
    • Gar Alperovitz and Robert L. Messer, "Marshall, Truman, and the Decision to Drop the Bomb," International Security, 16 (1991/92), 204-214;
    • (1991) International Security , vol.16 , pp. 204-214
    • Alperovitz, G.1    Messer, R.L.2
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    • 85034167873 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sato, Kaiko, 481-497;
    • Kaiko , pp. 481-497
    • Sato1
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    • The main factor that determined the timing of Japan's surrender
    • emphasis mine
    • Among American scholars, Paul Kecskemeti has persuasively argued that the Soviet entry was "the main factor that determined the timing of Japan's surrender"; Strategic Surrender, 198-199 (emphasis mine).
    • Strategic Surrender , pp. 198-199
    • Kecskemeti, P.1
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    • Interrogations
    • Kurihara and Hatano, eds.
    • Miyazaki Shuichi, Dec. 29, 1949, "Interrogations"; Kurihara and Hatano, eds., Shusen kosaku, 2: 361.
    • (1949) Shusen Kosaku , vol.2 , pp. 361
    • Shuichi, M.1
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    • Statements
    • Aug. 23, Kurihara and Hatano, eds.
    • Kawabe, Aug. 23, 1948, "Statements"; Kurihara and Hatano, eds., Shusen kosaku, 2: 342-343;
    • (1948) Shusen Kosaku , vol.2 , pp. 342-343
    • Kawabe1
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    • Oki nikki, 334.
    • Oki Nikki , pp. 334
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    • Hiroshima: A Strategy of Shock
    • Dockrill, ed.
    • On this point, see Freedman and Dockrill, "Hiroshima: A Strategy of Shock," in Dockrill, ed., From Pearl Harbor to Hiroshima, 205, 207.
    • From Pearl Harbor to Hiroshima , pp. 205
    • Freedman1    Dockrill2
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    • Oki nikki, 334.
    • Oki Nikki , pp. 334
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    • Aug. 6, Kurihara and Hatano, eds.
    • Miyazaki diary, Aug. 6, 1945; Kurihara and Hatano, eds., Shusen kosaku, 2: 343.
    • (1945) Shusen Kosaku , vol.2 , pp. 343
    • Diary, M.1
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    • Statements
    • Aug. 23, Kurihara and Hatano, eds.
    • Kawabe, Aug. 23, 1948, "Statements"; Kurihara and Hatano, eds., Shusen kosaku, 2: 342-343.
    • (1948) Shusen Kosaku , vol.2 , pp. 342-343
    • Kawabe1
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    • 85034183795 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Miyazaki diary, Aug. 8, 1945
    • Miyazaki diary, Aug. 8, 1945.
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    • Kofukuji no shinso
    • Feb.
    • Sakomizu Hisatsune, "Kofukuji no shinso" [The truth about surrender], Jiyu kohumin (Feb. 1946), 60-61.
    • (1946) Jiyu Kohumin , pp. 60-61
    • Hisatsune, S.1
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    • Rutland, Vt.
    • Mark Gayn, Japan Diary (Rutland, Vt., 1981), 269-271.
    • (1981) Gayn, Japan Diary , pp. 269-271
    • Mark1
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    • 26044453406 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Record of the imperial conference of June 8, 1945, in Sanbo Honbu, comp., Haisen no kiroku, 256-277;
    • Haisen No Kiroku , pp. 256-277
    • Honbu, S.1
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    • 85034198074 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Kido nikki, 2: 1208-1209.
    • Kido Nikki , vol.2 , pp. 1208-1209
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    • Ending the War with Japan: Paul Nitze's 'Early Surrender' Counterfactual
    • See also Robert P. Newman, "Ending the War with Japan: Paul Nitze's 'Early Surrender' Counterfactual," Pacific Historical Review, 64 (1995), 167-194.
    • (1995) Pacific Historical Review , vol.64 , pp. 167-194
    • Newman, R.P.1
  • 228
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    • Eclipsed by Hiroshima and Nagasaki: Early Thinking about Tactical Nuclear Weapons
    • See Barton J. Bernstein, "Eclipsed by Hiroshima and Nagasaki: Early Thinking About Tactical Nuclear Weapons," International Security, 15 (1991), 149-173;
    • (1991) International Security , vol.15 , pp. 149-173
    • Bernstein, B.J.1
  • 229
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    • After Nagasaki: General Marshall's Plan for Tactical Nuclear Weapons in Japan
    • Marc Gallicchio, "After Nagasaki: General Marshall's Plan for Tactical Nuclear Weapons in Japan," Prologue, 23 (1991), 396-404.
    • (1991) Prologue , vol.23 , pp. 396-404
    • Gallicchio, M.1
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    • Truman's Decision to Drop the Atomic Bomb
    • states: "In the summer of 1945, the victorious Americans owed the Japanese people an experiment in negotiations. To use the atomic bomb... without even attempting such an experiment, was a double crime" (pp. 263-268). Would such an "experiment" have met conditions demanded by Japanese military? Martin Sherwin's "Hiroshima at Fifty" offers yet another scenario: Stimson could have declared that "our nation is too moral" to use the atomic weapon and dissuaded President Truman from using it. The moral ambiguities inherent in the use of the atomic bomb are more judiciously treated by Melvyn P. Leffler, "Truman's Decision to Drop the Atomic Bomb" IHJ Bulletin, 15 (1995), 1-7. The psychological - and moral - implications of the bomb are discussed at length in Lifton and Mitchell, Hiroshima in America.
    • (1995) IHJ Bulletin , vol.15 , pp. 1-7
    • Leffler, M.P.1


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