Technological Threat and Opportunity Assessment

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

Volumn 61, Issue 3, 1999, Pages 215-234

  Du Preez, Gert T ^b   Pistorius, Carl W I ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF PRETORIA   (South Africa)

^b NONE

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 0011703428     PISSN: 00401625     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/S0040-1625(99)00037-2     Document Type: Article

References (35)

1. Ashton W.B., Klavans R.A. An Introduction to Technical Intelligence. Ashton W.B., Klavans R.A. Keeping Abreast of Science and Technology. 1997;Batelle Press, Columbus, Ohio.
2. Bright J.R. Practical Technology Forecasting. 1978;Sweet Publishing, Austin, Texas.
3. Wohlers T.T. Rapid Prototyping and Tooling. State of the Industry - 1998 Worldwide Progress Report:1998;Wohlers Associates, Fort Collins, Colorado. p. 22.
4. Bloom J.L. Japan as a Model for a National Approach to Business Intelligence. Ashton W.B., Klavans R.A. Keeping Abreast of Science and Technology. 1997;Batelle Press, Columbus, Ohio.
5. Bright J.R. Evaluating Signals of Technological Change. Harvard Business Review. Jan-Feb:1970;62-70.
6. Wissema J.G. Trends in Technology Forecasting. R&D Management. 12(1):1982;27-36.
7. Cabello C., Cahill E., Gavigan J.P. IPTS Foresight Watch. Production Technologies, Construction Materials & Transport Means:1996;Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS), Seville, Spain.
8. Gilfillan S.C. A Sociologist Looks at Technical Prediction. Bright J.R. Technological Forecasting for Industry and Government. 1968;Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey.
9. Howard W.G., Guile B.R. Profiting from Innovation. 1992;The Free Press, New York, NY.
10. Linstone H.A. Multiple Perspective for Decision-Making. Bridging the Gap between Analysis and Action:1984;North-Holland-Elsevier Publishing Company, New York, NY.
11. Meintjes, G. F.: The Effects of Competition Policy on Technological Innovation, ITI Report 96-4. Institute for Technological Innovation (ITI), University of Pretoria, Pretoria, 1996.
12. Utterback J.M. Mastering the Dynamics of Innovation. 1994;Harvard Business School Press, Boston, Massachusetts.
13. Porter M.E. Competitive Strategy. Techniques for Analyzing Industries and Competitors:1980;The Free Press, New York, NY.
14. Burgelman R.A., Rosenbloom R.S. Technology Strategy. An Evolutionary Process Perspective Research on Technological Innovation, Mangement and Policy. 4:1989;1-23.
15. Twiss B.C. Forecasting for Technologists and Engineers. 1992;Peter Peregrinus Ltd, London, UK.
16. Van Wyk R.J. Strategic Technology Scanning. Technology Forecasting and Social Change. 55:1997;21-38.
17. Aguilar F.J. Scanning the Business Environment. 1967;MacMillan, New York, NY. 19-20.
18. Van Wyk R.J. Panoramic Scanning and the Technological Environment. Technovation. 2:1984;101-120.
19. Korf, G. J.: Merging of Technologies. Masters' Thesis, Department of Engineering and Technology Management, Faculty of Engineering, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, 1996.
20. Thompson J.D. Organizations in Action. 1967;McGraw-Hill, New York. p. 159.
21. Porter A.L., Detampel M.J. Technology Opportunities Analysis. Technology Forecasting and Social Change. 49(3):1995;237-255.
22. Pistorius C.W.I., Utterback J.M. The Death Knells of Mature Technologies. Technology Forecasting and Social Change. 50:1995;215-233.
23. Martino J.P. Trend Extrapolation. Bright J.R., Schoeman M.E.F. A Guide to Practical Technology Forecasting. 1973;123-125 Prentice-Hall, New Jersey.
24. Utterback, J. M., and Brown, J. W.: Monitoring for Technological Opportunities, Business Horizons Series on Technology Management and Forecasting, October 1972.
25. nd ed., Irwin, 1996, pp. 64-76.
26. Chiesa V., Coughlan P., Voss C. Development of a Technical Innovation Audit. Journal of Product Innovation Management. 13(2):1996;105-136.
27. Burgelman, R. A., Kosnik, T. J., and Van den Poel, M., Toward an Innovative Capability Audit Framework, in Strategic Management of Technology and Innovation, R. A., Burgelman and M. A. Maidique, eds., Irwin, 1988, pp. 31-34.
28. Thomas C.W. Strategic Technology Assessment, Future Products and Competitive Advantage. International Journal of Technology Management: Special Publication on Technology Assessment. 11(5/6):1996;651-665.
29. White G.R., Graham M.B.W. How to Spot a Technological Winner. Harvard Business Review. March-April:1978;146-152.
30. nd ed., Irwin, 1996, pp. 150-151.
31. Ashton, W. B.: Personal communication at Batelle Pacific Northwest Laboratory, Washington, D. C., 14 August 1998.
32. Shillito M.L., Advanced Q.F.D. Linking Technology to Market and Company Needs. 1994;John Wiley & Sons, New York.
33. Groth J.C. Critical Factors in Exploiting Technologies. Management Decision. 31(3):1993;34-37.
34. Andersen P., Tushman M.L. Technological Discontinuities and Dominant Designs. A Cyclical Model of Technological Change Administrative Science Quarterly. 35:1990;604-633.
35. Wheelwright S.C., Clark K.B. Revolutionizing Product Development. 1992;The Free Press, New York. 82.