The Decline of the Scottish Conservative and Unionist Party 1950–92: Religion, Ideology or Economics?

Contemporary Record

Volumn 9, Issue 2, 1995, Pages 319-342

  Wright, David Sea ^a   Curtice, John ^b  

^a NOTTINGHAM TRENT UNIVERSITY   (United Kingdom)

^b UNIVERSITY OF STRATHCLYDE   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 0007085625     PISSN: 09509224     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/13619469508581341     Document Type: Article

References (54)

1. S. Kendrick and D. McCrone, ‘Politics in a Cold Climate: The Conservative Decline in Scotland’, Political Studies, Vol. 38 (1989), pp. 589–603.
2. W. Miller, Electoral Dynamics in Britain since 1918 (London: Macmillan, 1977).
3. W. Miller, ‘Social Class and Party Choice in England: a new analysis’, British Journal of Political Science, Vol. 8 (1978), pp. 257–74.
4. W. Miller, J. Brand and M. Jordan, ‘Government Without Mandate: Its Causes and Consequences for the Conservative Party in Scotland’, Political Quarterly, Vol. 52, (1981), pp. 203–13.
5. J. Mitchell, Conservatives and the Union (Edinburgh: Edinburgh University Press, 1990).
6. Glasgow Herald, 20 May 1968.
7. L. Paterson, The Autonomy of Modern Scotland (Edinburgh: Edinburgh University Press, 1994).
8. W. Miller, The End of British Politics (Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1981).
9. D. McCrone, ‘Opinion Polls in Scotland: July 1987—September 1988’, in A. Brown and D. McCrone (eds.), The Scottish Government Yearbook 1989 (Edinburgh: Unit for the Study of Government in Scotland, 1989).
10. Kendrick and McCrone, The Scottish Government Yearbook 1989.
11. See especially I. Budge and D. Urwin, Scottish Political Behaviour: A Case Study in British Homogeneity (London: Longman, 1966).
12. J. Bochel and D. Denver, ‘Religion and Voting: A Critical Review and a New Analysis’, Political Studies, Vol. 18 (1970), pp. 205–19.
13. Kendrick and McCrone, Political Studies.
14. Mitchell, Conservatives and the Union, ‘Will Scotland Come to the Aid of the Party?’.
15. For further details see D. Seawright, ‘The Decline of the Scottish Conservative and Unionist Party 1950-1992’ (Glasgow: University of Strathclyde, unpublished Ph. D. thesis, 1994).
16. D. Robertson, Class and the British Electorate (Oxford: Basil Blackwell, 1984).
17. D. Butler and D. Stokes, Political Change in Britain (2nd edition) (London: Macmillan, 1974).
18. I. Crewe, ‘The Electorate: Partisan Dealignment Ten Years On’, in H. Berrington (ed.), Change in British Politics (London: Frank Cass, 1984).
19. M. Franklin, The Decline of Class Voting in Britain (Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1985).
20. R. Rose, Class Does Not Equal Party (Glasgow: University of Strathclyde Papers in Public Policy, No. 74, 1980).
21. A. Heath, R. Jowell, and J. Curtice, How Britain Votes (Oxford: Pergamon, 1985).
22. I. Crewe, ‘On the Death and Resurrection of Class Voting: Some Comments on How Britain Votes’, Political Studies, Vol. 34 (1986), pp. 620–38
23. A. Heath, R. Jowell and J. Curtice, ‘Trendless Fluctuation: A Reply to Crewe’, Political Studies, Vol. 35 (1987), pp. 256–77.
24. A. Heath, R. Jowell, J. Curtice, G. Evans, J. Field and S. Witherspoon, Understanding Political Change: The British Voter 1964–87 (Oxford: Pergamon, 1991).
25. G. Evans, A. Heath and C. Payne, ‘Modelling Trends in the Class/Party Relationship 1964-87’, Electoral Studies, Vol. 10 (1991), pp. 99–117.
26. Asking people to recall how they voted some considerable time ago is methodologically less desirable than asking them immediately after an election. See H. Himmelweit, M. Jaegar and T. Stockdale, ‘Memory for Past Vote: Implications of a Bias in Recall’, British Journal of Political Science, Vol. 8 (1978), pp. 365–84. However, data on respondents’ religion were not available in the Gallup surveys before 1963.
27. For further details of these surveys see J. Curtice, ‘Great Britain: Imported ideas in a changing landscape’, European Journal of Political Research, Vol. 25 (1994), pp. 267–86.
28. For further details see N. Gilbert, Modelling Society (London: Allen and Unwin, 1981).
29. See, for example, H. Blalock, Social Statistics (London: McGraw Hill, 1972).
30. See also J. Brand, J. Mitchell and P. Surridge, ‘Will Scotland Come to the Aid of the Party?’, in A. Heath, R. Jowell and J. Curtice with B. Taylor (eds.), Labour's Last Chance? The 1992 Election and Beyond? (Aldershot: Dartmouth, 1994).
31. J. Mitchell, ‘The 1992 Election in Scotland in Context’, Parliamentary Affairs, Vol. 45 (1992), pp. 612–26.
32. D. McCrone, Understanding Scotland; the sociology of a stateless nation (London: Routledge, 1992).
33. Mitchell, Conservatives and the Union, ‘The 1992 Election in Scotland in Context’.
34. Scottish Unionist Association, Conference Agenda, Ayr, 15 May 1947 (Edinburgh: Scottish Unionist Association, 1947).
35. Scottish Unionist Association, Yearbook: A Political Reference Manual (Edinburgh: Scottish Unionist Association, 1955), pp. 18–19.
36. The Scotsman, 10 Sept. 1987.
37. Mitchell, ‘The 1992 Election’.
38. Miller et al., The End of British Politics.
39. J. Foster and C. Woolfson, The Politics of the UCS Work-In (London: Lawrence & Wishart, 1986).
40. Mitchell, ‘The 1992 Election’.
41. The Scotsman, 12 May 1956.
42. Kendrick and McCrone, Political Studies.
43. M. Arnott, ‘The Conservative Party and Educational Policy-Making in Scotland’ (Glasgow: University of Strathclyde, unpublished Ph. D. thesis, 1993).
44. Heath et al., Understanding Political Change: The British Voter 1964–87.
45. See also J. Curtice, ‘The North South Divide’, in R. Jowell, G. Prior and B. Taylor (eds.), British Social Attitudes, the 9th Report (Aldershot: Dartmouth, 1992).
46. G. Kramer, ‘Short-Term Fluctuations in US Voting Behaviour, 1896-1964’, American Political Science Review, Vol. 65 (1971), pp. 131–43.
47. See also D. Sanders, D. Marsh and H. Ward, ‘Government Popularity and the Falklands War; a assessment’, British Journal of Political Science, Vol. 17 (1987), pp. 281–314.
48. D. Sanders, ‘Government Popularity and the Next General Election’, Political Quarterly, Vol. 52 (1991), pp. 235–61.
49. J. Gibson, ‘The Effects of Unemployment on Voting in British Elections: A New Specification of a Political-Economic Model of Constituency Voting’, Environment and Planning C, Vol. 10 (1992), pp. 451–65.
50. R. Johnston and C. Pattie, ‘Unemployment, the Poll Tax and the British General Election of 1992’, Environment and Planning C, Vol. 10 (1992), pp. 467–83.
51. R. Owens and L. Wade, ‘Economic Conditions and Constituency Voting in Great Britain’, Political Studies, Vol. 36 (1988), pp. 30–51
52. P. Spencer, R. Beange and J. Curtice, The 1992 Election and the North-South Divide (London: Shearman Lehman Bros., 1991).
53. See also Curtice, ‘North-South divide’.
54. J. Curtice and M. Steed, ‘The Results Analysed’, in D. Butler and D. Kavanagh, The British General Election of 1992 (London: Macmillan, 1992).