Earthquakes: Thinking about the unpredictable

Eos

Volumn 78, Issue 6, 1997, Pages 63-67

  Geller, Robert J ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF TOKYO   (Japan)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 0003564391     PISSN: 00963941     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1029/97eo00044     Document Type: Article

References (9)

1. Crampin, S., and S. V. Zatsepin, Changes of strain before earthquakes: The possibility of routine monitoring of both long-term and short-term precursors, J. Phys. Earth, in press, 1997.
2. Geller, R. J., Predictable publicity, Astronomy & Geophysics, J. Roy. Astron. Soc., 38(1), 16-18, 1997.
3. Kagan, Y. Y., Observational evidence for earthquakes as a nonlinear dynamic process, Physica D, 77, 160-192, 1994.
4. Kagan, Y. Y., Comment on "The Gutenberg-Richter or characteristic earthquake distribu-tion, which is it?", by S. G. Wesnousky, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 86, 274-285, 1996.
5. Macelwane, J. B., Forecasting earthquakes, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 36, 1-4, 1946.
6. Main, I. G., Statistical physics, seismogenesis, and seismic hazard, Rev. Geophys., 34, 433-462, 1996.
7. Main, I. G., Long odds on prediction, Nature, 385, 19-20, 1997.
8. Stiros, S. C., Unexpected shock rocks an "aseismic" area, Eos, Trans. AGU, 76, 513-514, 1995.
9. Wesnousky, S. G., Reply to Yan Kagan's comment on "The Gutenberg-Richter or characteristic earthquake distribution, which is it?", Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 86, 286-291, 1996.