메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 15, Issue 3, 1996, Pages 203-227

Changing time scale for short-term forecasting in financial markets

Author keywords

Forecasting; High frequency data; Intrinsic time; Time scales

Indexed keywords


EID: 0001014223     PISSN: 02776693     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/(sici)1099-131x(199604)15:3<203::aid-for619>3.0.co;2-y     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (22)

References (41)
  • 2
    • 0001782228 scopus 로고
    • Long memory processes and fractional integration in econometrics
    • forthcoming
    • Baillie, R. T., 'Long memory processes and fractional integration in econometrics', Journal of Econometrics, forthcoming (1995).
    • (1995) Journal of Econometrics
    • Baillie, R.T.1
  • 3
    • 84952533519 scopus 로고
    • The message in daily exchange rates: A conditional- variance tale
    • Baillie, R. T. and Bollerslev, T., 'The message in daily exchange rates: a conditional- variance tale', Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 7(3) (1989), 297-305.
    • (1989) Journal of Business and Economic Statistics , vol.7 , Issue.3 , pp. 297-305
    • Baillie, R.T.1    Bollerslev, T.2
  • 6
    • 42449156579 scopus 로고
    • Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity
    • Bollerslev, T., 'Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity', Journal of Econometrics, 31 (1986), 307-27.
    • (1986) Journal of Econometrics , vol.31 , pp. 307-327
    • Bollerslev, T.1
  • 8
    • 0000895224 scopus 로고
    • The statistical distribution of exchange rates, empirical evidence and economic implications
    • Boothe, P. and Glassman, D., 'The statistical distribution of exchange rates, empirical evidence and economic implications', Journal of International Economics, 22 (1987), 297-319.
    • (1987) Journal of International Economics , vol.22 , pp. 297-319
    • Boothe, P.1    Glassman, D.2
  • 9
    • 0000346734 scopus 로고
    • A subordinated stochastic process model with finite variance for speculative prices
    • Clark, P. K., 'A subordinated stochastic process model with finite variance for speculative prices', Econometrica, 41 (1) (1973), 135-55.
    • (1973) Econometrica , vol.41 , Issue.1 , pp. 135-155
    • Clark, P.K.1
  • 10
    • 0344743531 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Presentation at the IBM Summer Research Institute in Oberlech Austria on 'Advanced Applications in Finance, Investment and Banking', 27-31 July, 1992, MMD. 1992-05-12, Olsen & Associates, Seefeldstrasse 233, 8008 Zürich, Switzerland
    • Dacorogna, M. M., Gauvreau, C. L., Müller, U. A., Olsen, R. B., and Pictet, O. V., 'Short term forecasting models of foreign exchange rates', Presentation at the IBM Summer Research Institute in Oberlech Austria on 'Advanced Applications in Finance, Investment and Banking', 27-31 July, 1992, MMD. 1992-05-12, Olsen & Associates, Seefeldstrasse 233, 8008 Zürich, Switzerland.
    • Short Term Forecasting Models of Foreign Exchange Rates
    • Dacorogna, M.M.1    Gauvreau, C.L.2    Müller, U.A.3    Olsen, R.B.4    Pictet, O.V.5
  • 14
    • 0041059062 scopus 로고
    • A long memory property of stock market returns and a new model
    • Ding, Z., Granger, C. W. J., and Engle, R. F., 'A long memory property of stock market returns and a new model', Journal of Empirical Finance, 1 (1993), 83-106.
    • (1993) Journal of Empirical Finance , vol.1 , pp. 83-106
    • Ding, Z.1    Granger, C.W.J.2    Engle, R.F.3
  • 16
    • 0000051984 scopus 로고
    • Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity with estimates of the variance of U.K. inflation
    • Engle, R. F., 'Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity with estimates of the variance of U.K. inflation', Econometrica, 50 (1982), 987-1008.
    • (1982) Econometrica , vol.50 , pp. 987-1008
    • Engle, R.F.1
  • 17
    • 84963146757 scopus 로고
    • Modelling the persistence of conditional variances
    • Engle, R. F. and Bollerslev, T., 'Modelling the persistence of conditional variances', Econometric Reviews, 5(1986), 1-50.
    • (1986) Econometric Reviews , vol.5 , pp. 1-50
    • Engle, R.F.1    Bollerslev, T.2
  • 18
    • 0000480869 scopus 로고
    • Efficient capital markets: A review of theory and empirical work
    • Fama, E. F., 'Efficient capital markets: A review of theory and empirical work', Journal of Finance, 25 (1970), 383-417.
    • (1970) Journal of Finance , vol.25 , pp. 383-417
    • Fama, E.F.1
  • 19
    • 0000029776 scopus 로고
    • Efficient capital markets: II
    • Fama, E. F., 'Efficient capital markets: II', The Journal of Finance, 46(5) (1991), 1575-617.
    • (1991) The Journal of Finance , vol.46 , Issue.5 , pp. 1575-1617
    • Fama, E.F.1
  • 20
    • 0039252467 scopus 로고
    • Forecasting the exchange rate: A monetary or random walk phenomenon
    • Finn, M. G., 'Forecasting the exchange rate: A monetary or random walk phenomenon', Journal of International Money and Finance, 5(2) (1986), 181-93.
    • (1986) Journal of International Money and Finance , vol.5 , Issue.2 , pp. 181-193
    • Finn, M.G.1
  • 23
    • 0000565692 scopus 로고
    • Does the exchange rate follow a random walk? A Monte Carlo study of four tests for a random walk
    • Hakkio, C. S., 'Does the exchange rate follow a random walk? A Monte Carlo study of four tests for a random walk', Journal of International Money and Finance, 5(2) (1986), 221-9.
    • (1986) Journal of International Money and Finance , vol.5 , Issue.2 , pp. 221-229
    • Hakkio, C.S.1
  • 24
    • 45449124697 scopus 로고
    • The statistical properties of daily foreign exchange rates: 1974-1983
    • Hsieh, D. A., 'The statistical properties of daily foreign exchange rates: 1974-1983', Journal of International Economics, 24 (1988), 129-45.
    • (1988) Journal of International Economics , vol.24 , pp. 129-145
    • Hsieh, D.A.1
  • 25
    • 0001961588 scopus 로고
    • Exchange rate economics
    • MacDonald, R. and Taylor, M. P., 'Exchange rate economics', IMF Staff Papers, 39(1) (1992), 1-57.
    • (1992) IMF Staff Papers , vol.39 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-57
    • MacDonald, R.1    Taylor, M.P.2
  • 27
    • 0001504360 scopus 로고
    • The variation of certain speculative prices
    • Mandelbrot, B. B., 'The variation of certain speculative prices', Journal of Business, 36 (1963), 394-419.
    • (1963) Journal of Business , vol.36 , pp. 394-419
    • Mandelbrot, B.B.1
  • 28
    • 0000642461 scopus 로고
    • On the distribution of stock prices differences
    • Mandelbrot, B. B. and Taylor, H. M., 'On the distribution of stock prices differences', Operations Research, 15 (1967), 1057-62.
    • (1967) Operations Research , vol.15 , pp. 1057-1062
    • Mandelbrot, B.B.1    Taylor, H.M.2
  • 29
    • 84977424601 scopus 로고
    • The distribution of foreign exchange price changes: Trading day effects and risk measurement
    • McFarland, J. W., Petit, R. R., and Sung, S. K., 'The distribution of foreign exchange price changes: trading day effects and risk measurement', The Journal of Finance, 37(3) (1982), 693-715.
    • (1982) The Journal of Finance , vol.37 , Issue.3 , pp. 693-715
    • McFarland, J.W.1    Petit, R.R.2    Sung, S.K.3
  • 30
    • 33846907054 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Empirical exchange rate models of the seventies, do they fit out of sample?
    • Meese, R. A. and Rogoff, J., 'Empirical exchange rate models of the seventies, do they fit out of sample?' Journal of International Economics, 14, 3-24.
    • Journal of International Economics , vol.14 , pp. 3-24
    • Meese, R.A.1    Rogoff, J.2
  • 32
    • 26544444702 scopus 로고
    • Statistical study of foreign exchange rates, empirical evidence of a price change scaling law, and intraday analysis
    • Müller, U. A., Dacorogna, M. M., Olsen, R. B., Pictet, O. V., Schwarz, M., and Morgenegg, C., 'Statistical study of foreign exchange rates, empirical evidence of a price change scaling law, and intraday analysis', Journal of Banking and Finance, 14 (1990), 1189-208.
    • (1990) Journal of Banking and Finance , vol.14 , pp. 1189-1208
    • Müller, U.A.1    Dacorogna, M.M.2    Olsen, R.B.3    Pictet, O.V.4    Schwarz, M.5    Morgenegg, C.6
  • 36
    • 45349112590 scopus 로고
    • The out-of-sample forecasting performance of exchange rate models when coefficients are allowed to change
    • Schinasi, G. J. and Swamy, P. A. V. B., 'The out-of-sample forecasting performance of exchange rate models when coefficients are allowed to change', Journal of International Money and Finance, 8 (1989), 375-90.
    • (1989) Journal of International Money and Finance , vol.8 , pp. 375-390
    • Schinasi, G.J.1    Swamy, P.A.V.B.2
  • 37
    • 38249041052 scopus 로고
    • Efficient exchange rate forecasts: Lagged models better than random walk
    • Somanath, V. S., 'Efficient exchange rate forecasts: lagged models better than random walk', Journal of International Money and Finance, 5(2) 1986), 195-220.
    • (1986) Journal of International Money and Finance , vol.5 , Issue.2 , pp. 195-220
    • Somanath, V.S.1
  • 38
    • 84950430713 scopus 로고
    • Estimating continuous-time processes subject to time deformation
    • Stock, J. H., 'Estimating continuous-time processes subject to time deformation', Journal of the American Statistical Association, 83(401) (1988), 77-85.
    • (1988) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.83 , Issue.401 , pp. 77-85
    • Stock, J.H.1
  • 39
    • 84984524548 scopus 로고
    • Should fixed coefficients be re-estimated every period for extrapolatoon?
    • Swamy, P. A. V. B. and Schinasi, G. J., 'Should fixed coefficients be re-estimated every period for extrapolatoon?' Journal of Forecasting, 8(1) (1989), 1-17.
    • (1989) Journal of Forecasting , vol.8 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-17
    • Swamy, P.A.V.B.1    Schinasi, G.J.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.