메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 22, Issue 5, 1998, Pages 535-563

Sensitivity of the bank stock returns distribution to changes in the level and volatility of interest rate: A GARCH-M model

Author keywords

Bank stocks; C52; G12; G21; GARCH; Interest rate risk

Indexed keywords


EID: 0000403740     PISSN: 03784266     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/S0378-4266(98)00003-X     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (161)

References (76)
  • 1
    • 38249039013 scopus 로고
    • The effect of shift in monetary policy regime on the profitability and risk of commercial banks
    • Aharony J., Saunders A., Swary I. The effect of shift in monetary policy regime on the profitability and risk of commercial banks. Journal of Monetary Economics. 17:1986;363-377.
    • (1986) Journal of Monetary Economics , vol.17 , pp. 363-377
    • Aharony, J.1    Saunders, A.2    Swary, I.3
  • 2
    • 84986492539 scopus 로고
    • Interest rate sensitivity of bank stock returns: Specification effects and structural changes
    • Akella S.R., Chen S.J. Interest rate sensitivity of bank stock returns: Specification effects and structural changes. Journal of Financial Research. 13:1990;147-154.
    • (1990) Journal of Financial Research , vol.13 , pp. 147-154
    • Akella, S.R.1    Chen, S.J.2
  • 3
    • 0001917976 scopus 로고
    • Conditional heteroscedasticity in time series of stock returns: Evidence and forecasts
    • Akgiray V. Conditional heteroscedasticity in time series of stock returns: Evidence and forecasts. Journal of Business. 62:1989;55-80.
    • (1989) Journal of Business , vol.62 , pp. 55-80
    • Akgiray, V.1
  • 5
    • 0011356374 scopus 로고
    • Interest rate changes and common stock returns of financial institutions: Revisited
    • Bae S.C. Interest rate changes and common stock returns of financial institutions: Revisited. Journal of Financial Research. 13:1990;71-79.
    • (1990) Journal of Financial Research , vol.13 , pp. 71-79
    • Bae, S.C.1
  • 9
    • 42449156579 scopus 로고
    • Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity
    • Bollerslev T. Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity. Journal of Econometrics. 31:1986;307-327.
    • (1986) Journal of Econometrics , vol.31 , pp. 307-327
    • Bollerslev, T.1
  • 10
    • 0000375581 scopus 로고
    • A conditional heteroscedistic time series model for speculative prices and rates of return
    • Bollerslev T. A conditional heteroscedistic time series model for speculative prices and rates of return. Review of Economics and Statistics. 69:1987;542-547.
    • (1987) Review of Economics and Statistics , vol.69 , pp. 542-547
    • Bollerslev, T.1
  • 11
    • 34848900983 scopus 로고
    • ARCH modeling in finance: A review of the theory and empirical evidence
    • Bollesrev T.R., Chou Y., Kroner K.F. ARCH modeling in finance: A review of the theory and empirical evidence. Journal of Econometrics. 52:1992;5-59.
    • (1992) Journal of Econometrics , vol.52 , pp. 5-59
    • Bollesrev, T.R.1    Chou, Y.2    Kroner, K.F.3
  • 13
    • 84986432821 scopus 로고
    • Expectations, interest rates, and commercial bank stocks
    • Booth J., Officer D.T. Expectations, interest rates, and commercial bank stocks. Journal of Financial Research. 8:1985;51-58.
    • (1985) Journal of Financial Research , vol.8 , pp. 51-58
    • Booth, J.1    Officer, D.T.2
  • 14
    • 84977723932 scopus 로고
    • Economic significance of predictable variations in stock index returns
    • Bree W., Glosten L.R., Jagannathan R. Economic significance of predictable variations in stock index returns. Journal of Finance. 44:1989;1177-1189.
    • (1989) Journal of Finance , vol.44 , pp. 1177-1189
    • Bree, W.1    Glosten, L.R.2    Jagannathan, R.3
  • 15
    • 84986490646 scopus 로고
    • The relationship between the variability of inflation and stocks: An empirical investigation
    • Buono M.J. The relationship between the variability of inflation and stocks: An empirical investigation. Journal of Financial Research. 12:1989;329-339.
    • (1989) Journal of Financial Research , vol.12 , pp. 329-339
    • Buono, M.J.1
  • 16
  • 17
    • 43549117863 scopus 로고
    • No news is good news: An asymmetric model of changing volatility in stock returns
    • Campbell J.Y., Hentschel L. No news is good news: An asymmetric model of changing volatility in stock returns. Journal of Financial Economics. 31:1992;281-318.
    • (1992) Journal of Financial Economics , vol.31 , pp. 281-318
    • Campbell, J.Y.1    Hentschel, L.2
  • 19
    • 0006209921 scopus 로고
    • Risk return and equilibrium: An extension
    • Carroll C., Wei K.C.J. Risk return and equilibrium: An extension. Journal of Business. 61:1988;485-499.
    • (1988) Journal of Business , vol.61 , pp. 485-499
    • Carroll, C.1    Wei, K.C.J.2
  • 20
    • 84986456131 scopus 로고
    • A re-examination of interest rate sensitivity in the common stocks of financial institutions
    • Chance D.M., Lane W.R. A re-examination of interest rate sensitivity in the common stocks of financial institutions. Journal of Financial Research. 3:1980;49-55.
    • (1980) Journal of Financial Research , vol.3 , pp. 49-55
    • Chance, D.M.1    Lane, W.R.2
  • 21
    • 44049113259 scopus 로고
    • The sensitivity of bank stock returns to market, interest, and exchange rate risks
    • Choi J.J., Elyasiani E., Kopecky K. The sensitivity of bank stock returns to market, interest, and exchange rate risks. Journal of Banking and Finance. 16:1992;983-1004.
    • (1992) Journal of Banking and Finance , vol.16 , pp. 983-1004
    • Choi, J.J.1    Elyasiani, E.2    Kopecky, K.3
  • 22
    • 84986384825 scopus 로고
    • Volatility persistence and stock valuations: Some empirical evidence using GARCH
    • Chou R.Y. Volatility persistence and stock valuations: some empirical evidence using GARCH. Journal of Applied Econometrics. 3:1988;279-294.
    • (1988) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.3 , pp. 279-294
    • Chou, R.Y.1
  • 23
    • 49049143130 scopus 로고
    • The stochastic behavior of common stock variances: Value, leverage, and interest rate effects
    • Christie A.A. The stochastic behavior of common stock variances: Value, leverage, and interest rate effects. Journal of Financial Economics. 10:1982;407-432.
    • (1982) Journal of Financial Economics , vol.10 , pp. 407-432
    • Christie, A.A.1
  • 24
    • 0009041245 scopus 로고
    • Interest rate uncertainty and the financial intermediary's choice of exposure
    • Deshmukh S.D., Greenbaum S.I., Kanatas G. Interest rate uncertainty and the financial intermediary's choice of exposure. Journal of Finance. 38 1:1983;141-147.
    • (1983) Journal of Finance , vol.38 , Issue.1 , pp. 141-147
    • Deshmukh, S.D.1    Greenbaum, S.I.2    Kanatas, G.3
  • 25
    • 84963463704 scopus 로고
    • Modeling persistence in conditional variance: A comment
    • Diebold F.X. Modeling persistence in conditional variance: A comment. Econometric Review. 5:1986;51-56.
    • (1986) Econometric Review , vol.5 , pp. 51-56
    • Diebold, F.X.1
  • 26
    • 84986408962 scopus 로고
    • The dynamics of exchange rate volatility: A multivariate latent factor ARCH model
    • Diebold F.X., Nerlove M. The dynamics of exchange rate volatility: A multivariate latent factor ARCH model. Journal of Applied Econometrics. 4:1989;1-22.
    • (1989) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.4 , pp. 1-22
    • Diebold, F.X.1    Nerlove, M.2
  • 27
    • 0001094414 scopus 로고
    • Stock returns and volatility: A firm level analysis
    • Duffee G.R. Stock returns and volatility: A firm level analysis. Journal of Financial Economics. 37:1995;399-420.
    • (1995) Journal of Financial Economics , vol.37 , pp. 399-420
    • Duffee, G.R.1
  • 29
    • 21844523751 scopus 로고
    • Cost of adjustment, portfolio separation, and the dynamic behavior of bank loans and deposits
    • Elyasiani E., Kopecky K., Vanhoose D. Cost of adjustment, portfolio separation, and the dynamic behavior of bank loans and deposits. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking. 27(1):1995;955-974.
    • (1995) Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking , vol.27 , Issue.1 , pp. 955-974
    • Elyasiani, E.1    Kopecky, K.2    Vanhoose, D.3
  • 30
    • 0000051984 scopus 로고
    • Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation
    • Engle R.F. Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica. 50:1982;987-1007.
    • (1982) Econometrica , vol.50 , pp. 987-1007
    • Engle, R.F.1
  • 31
    • 0001005120 scopus 로고
    • Estimates of the variance of US inflation based upon the ARCH model
    • Engle R.F. Estimates of the variance of US inflation based upon the ARCH model. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking. 15:1983;286-301.
    • (1983) Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking , vol.15 , pp. 286-301
    • Engle, R.F.1
  • 32
    • 84963146757 scopus 로고
    • Modeling the persistence of conditional variance
    • Engle R.F., Bollerslev T. Modeling the persistence of conditional variance. Econometric Review. 5:1986;1-50.
    • (1986) Econometric Review , vol.5 , pp. 1-50
    • Engle, R.F.1    Bollerslev, T.2
  • 33
    • 0001659575 scopus 로고
    • Meteor showers or heat waves? Hetroskedastic intra-daily volatility in the foreign exchange market
    • Engle, R.F., Ito, T., Lin, W.L., 1990a. Meteor showers or heat waves? Hetroskedastic intra-daily volatility in the foreign exchange market. Econometrica 58, 525-542.
    • (1990) Econometrica , vol.58 , pp. 525-542
    • Engle, R.F.1    Ito, T.2    Lin, W.L.3
  • 34
    • 0001264648 scopus 로고
    • Estimating time varying risk premia in the term structure: The ARCH-M model
    • Engle R.F., Lilien D.M., Robins R.P. Estimating time varying risk premia in the term structure: The ARCH-M model. Econometrica. 55:1987;391-407.
    • (1987) Econometrica , vol.55 , pp. 391-407
    • Engle, R.F.1    Lilien, D.M.2    Robins, R.P.3
  • 35
    • 45149140983 scopus 로고
    • Asset pricing with a factor-ARCH covariance structure: Empirical estimates for treasury bills
    • Engle, R.F., Ng, V., Rothschild, M., 1990b. Asset pricing with a factor-ARCH covariance structure: Empirical estimates for treasury bills. Journal of Econometrics 45, 213-237.
    • (1990) Journal of Econometrics , vol.45 , pp. 213-237
    • Engle, R.F.1    Ng, V.2    Rothschild, M.3
  • 38
    • 0000134175 scopus 로고
    • The effect of interest rate changes on the common stock returns of financial institutions
    • Flannery M.J., James C.M. The effect of interest rate changes on the common stock returns of financial institutions. Journal of Finance. 39:1984;1141-1153.
    • (1984) Journal of Finance , vol.39 , pp. 1141-1153
    • Flannery, M.J.1    James, C.M.2
  • 41
    • 84993601065 scopus 로고
    • On the relationship between the expected value and the volatility on the nominal excess returns on stocks
    • Glosten L.R., Jagannathan R., Runkle D. On the relationship between the expected value and the volatility on the nominal excess returns on stocks. Journal of Finance. 48:1993;1779-1801.
    • (1993) Journal of Finance , vol.48 , pp. 1779-1801
    • Glosten, L.R.1    Jagannathan, R.2    Runkle, D.3
  • 44
    • 51249173439 scopus 로고
    • Change in market assessment of deposit institution riskiness
    • Kane E.J., Unal H. Change in market assessment of deposit institution riskiness. Journal of Financial Services Research. 2:1988;201-229.
    • (1988) Journal of Financial Services Research , vol.2 , pp. 201-229
    • Kane, E.J.1    Unal, H.2
  • 45
    • 21844481870 scopus 로고
    • Alternative models for the conditional heteroskedasticity of stock returns
    • Kim D., Kon S.J. Alternative models for the conditional heteroskedasticity of stock returns. Journal of Business. 67:1994;563-597.
    • (1994) Journal of Business , vol.67 , pp. 563-597
    • Kim, D.1    Kon, S.J.2
  • 46
    • 0002721457 scopus 로고
    • Reexamination of interest rate sensitivity of commercial bank stock returns using a random coefficient model
    • Kwan S.H. Reexamination of interest rate sensitivity of commercial bank stock returns using a random coefficient model. Journal of Financial Services Research. 5:1991;61-76.
    • (1991) Journal of Financial Services Research , vol.5 , pp. 61-76
    • Kwan, S.H.1
  • 47
    • 84977718808 scopus 로고
    • Heteroskedasticity in stock return data: Volume versus GARCH effects
    • Lamoureux C.G., Lastrapes W.D. Heteroskedasticity in stock return data: Volume versus GARCH effects. Journal of Finance. 45:1990;221-229.
    • (1990) Journal of Finance , vol.45 , pp. 221-229
    • Lamoureux, C.G.1    Lastrapes, W.D.2
  • 49
    • 0001725267 scopus 로고
    • The sources of GARCH: Empirical evidence from an intraday returns model incorporating systematic and unique risk
    • Laux, P.A., Ng, L.K., 1993. The sources of GARCH: Empirical evidence from an intraday returns model incorporating systematic and unique risk. Journal of International Money and Finance, 543-560.
    • (1993) Journal of International Money and Finance , pp. 543-560
    • Laux, P.A.1    Ng, L.K.2
  • 50
    • 0003114587 scopus 로고
    • The valuation of risk assets and the selection of risky investments in stock portfolio and capital budgets
    • Lintner J. The valuation of risk assets and the selection of risky investments in stock portfolio and capital budgets. Review of Economics and Statistics. 45:1965;13-37.
    • (1965) Review of Economics and Statistics , vol.45 , pp. 13-37
    • Lintner, J.1
  • 52
    • 84974142900 scopus 로고
    • An empirical study of the interest rate sensitivity of commercial bank returns: A multi-index approach
    • Lynge M.J., Zumwalt J.K. An empirical study of the interest rate sensitivity of commercial bank returns: A multi-index approach. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis. 15:1980;731-742.
    • (1980) Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis , vol.15 , pp. 731-742
    • Lynge, M.J.1    Zumwalt, J.K.2
  • 53
    • 84986376840 scopus 로고
    • Testing the Martingale hypothesis in deutsch futures with models specifying the form of heteroskedasticity
    • Mc Curdy T.H., Morgan I.G. Testing the Martingale hypothesis in deutsch futures with models specifying the form of heteroskedasticity. Journal of Applied Econometrics. 3:1985;187-202.
    • (1985) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.3 , pp. 187-202
    • Mc Curdy, T.H.1    Morgan, I.G.2
  • 54
    • 84993848940 scopus 로고
    • Returns from investing in equity mutual funds 1971-1991
    • Malkiel B. Returns from investing in equity mutual funds 1971-1991. Journal of Finance. 50:1995;549-572.
    • (1995) Journal of Finance , vol.50 , pp. 549-572
    • Malkiel, B.1
  • 55
    • 0001738730 scopus 로고
    • An intertemporal capital asset pricing model
    • Merton, R., 1973. An intertemporal capital asset pricing model, Econometrica, 867-887.
    • (1973) Econometrica , pp. 867-887
    • Merton, R.1
  • 56
    • 0001451378 scopus 로고
    • On estimating the expected return on the market: An exploratory investigation
    • Merton R. On estimating the expected return on the market: An exploratory investigation. Journal of Financial Economics. 8:1980;326-361.
    • (1980) Journal of Financial Economics , vol.8 , pp. 326-361
    • Merton, R.1
  • 57
    • 0001900266 scopus 로고
    • A conditional variance model for daily deviations of an exchange rate
    • Milhoj A. A conditional variance model for daily deviations of an exchange rate. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics. 5:1987;99-103.
    • (1987) Journal of Business and Economic Statistics , vol.5 , pp. 99-103
    • Milhoj, A.1
  • 58
    • 0001238604 scopus 로고
    • Equilibrium in a capital asset market
    • Mossin J. Equilibrium in a capital asset market. Econometrica. 34:1966;768-783.
    • (1966) Econometrica , vol.34 , pp. 768-783
    • Mossin, J.1
  • 62
    • 0008309420 scopus 로고
    • The time-variance relationship of security returns: Implications for the return-generating stochastic process
    • Perry P.R. The time-variance relationship of security returns: Implications for the return-generating stochastic process. Journal of Finance. 37:1982;857-870.
    • (1982) Journal of Finance , vol.37 , pp. 857-870
    • Perry, P.R.1
  • 63
    • 0001241910 scopus 로고
    • Risk, inflation, and the stock market
    • Pindyck R.S. Risk, inflation, and the stock market. American Economic Review. 74:1984;335-351.
    • (1984) American Economic Review , vol.74 , pp. 335-351
    • Pindyck, R.S.1
  • 64
    • 0000441798 scopus 로고
    • The persistence of volatility and stock market fluctuations
    • Poterba J.M., Summers L.H. The persistence of volatility and stock market fluctuations. American Economic Review. 76:1986;1141-1151.
    • (1986) American Economic Review , vol.76 , pp. 1141-1151
    • Poterba, J.M.1    Summers, L.H.2
  • 65
    • 49549135545 scopus 로고
    • The arbitrage theory of capital asset pricing
    • Ross S. The arbitrage theory of capital asset pricing. Journal of Economic Theory. 13:1976;341-360.
    • (1976) Journal of Economic Theory , vol.13 , pp. 341-360
    • Ross, S.1
  • 66
    • 38249019746 scopus 로고
    • Are banks special? The separation of banking from commerce and interest rate risk
    • Saunders, A., Yourougou, P., 1990. Are banks special? The separation of banking from commerce and interest rate risk. Journal of Economics and Business, 171-182.
    • (1990) Journal of Economics and Business , pp. 171-182
    • Saunders, A.1    Yourougou, P.2
  • 67
    • 84986516356 scopus 로고
    • Interest rate risk and equity values of hedged and unhedged financial intermediaries
    • Scott W.L., Peterson R.L. Interest rate risk and equity values of hedged and unhedged financial intermediaries. Journal of Financial Research. 9:1986;325-329.
    • (1986) Journal of Financial Research , vol.9 , pp. 325-329
    • Scott, W.L.1    Peterson, R.L.2
  • 68
    • 84980092818 scopus 로고
    • Capital market prices: A theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk
    • Sharp W. Capital market prices: A theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk. Journal of Finance. 19:1964;425-442.
    • (1964) Journal of Finance , vol.19 , pp. 425-442
    • Sharp, W.1
  • 69
    • 38249015522 scopus 로고
    • The relationship between risk and capital in commercial banks
    • Shrieves R., Dahl D. The relationship between risk and capital in commercial banks. Journal of Banking and Finance. 16:1992;439-457.
    • (1992) Journal of Banking and Finance , vol.16 , pp. 439-457
    • Shrieves, R.1    Dahl, D.2
  • 71
    • 21344485574 scopus 로고
    • A two factor ARCH model for deposit-institution stock returns
    • Song F. A two factor ARCH model for deposit-institution stock returns. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking. 26:1994;323-340.
    • (1994) Journal of Money, Credit and Banking , vol.26 , pp. 323-340
    • Song, F.1
  • 72
    • 0000543579 scopus 로고
    • Systematic interest rate risk in a two-index model of returns
    • Stone B.K. Systematic interest rate risk in a two-index model of returns. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis. 9:1974;709-721.
    • (1974) Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis , vol.9 , pp. 709-721
    • Stone, B.K.1
  • 73
    • 0001567434 scopus 로고
    • The pricing of interest rate risk: Evidence from the stock market
    • Sweeny R., Warga A. The pricing of interest rate risk: Evidence from the stock market. Journal of Finance. 41:1986;393-410.
    • (1986) Journal of Finance , vol.41 , pp. 393-410
    • Sweeny, R.1    Warga, A.2
  • 75
    • 84986456049 scopus 로고
    • Commercial bank risk: Market interest rate, foreign exchange
    • Wetmore J.L., Brick J.R. Commercial bank risk: Market interest rate, foreign exchange. Journal of Financial Research. 17:1994;585-596.
    • (1994) Journal of Financial Research , vol.17 , pp. 585-596
    • Wetmore, J.L.1    Brick, J.R.2
  • 76
    • 38249017741 scopus 로고
    • Interest rate and the pricing of depository financial intermediary common stock: Empirical evidence
    • Yourougou P. Interest rate and the pricing of depository financial intermediary common stock: Empirical evidence. Journal of Banking and Finance. 14:1990;803-820.
    • (1990) Journal of Banking and Finance , vol.14 , pp. 803-820
    • Yourougou, P.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.